I am obviously not back on a regular basis, but I will engage in a little self-celebration at getting the first Supreme Court nominee prediction pick head on.
On November 22, 2008, I predicted Sotomayor would be the first Supreme Court nominee . . . and . . . well . . . she is:
Alright folks, I really have no idea how it will go down, but these are my predictions of the order of the nominations selected from the top ten prospects as listed by Salon.
I have no real additional insight into the picks and order aside from my gut feeling.
Nonetheless, here are my picks in order of their future nomination.
Nomination Pick #1
Sonia Sotomayor, 54 — After growing up in a Bronx housing project, Sotomayor has risen to become a judge on one of the most powerful courts in the land: the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit. As a Hispanic woman, Sotomayor would make an attractive candidate if Obama is looking to diversify the court. There has never been a Hispanic on the Supreme Court, and there is only one woman currently on the bench, Ruth Bader Ginsburg. Sotomayor might also have bipartisan appeal. She is politically moderate, and President George H.W. Bush appointed her to her first judgeship.
Obama’s first appointment should rightly be a woman, seeing as they are more than 50% of the population and have one representative on the bench. I believe she will be the first appointment because she is an uncontroversial slightly liberal woman, and would be the first latino to boot. (link)
My prediction was that the second nominee would be Cass Sunstein. We’ll see how how I do in round #2.